*Preliminary analysis on the APC candidacy speculations so far*
a. Regional/District considerations
– EBK is from Bombali District. It may not be prudent for the party to continue having presidential candidates from the same district all the time. Check; J.S Momoh (selection), Edward M. Turay – 1996, E.B Koroma – 2002, 2007 & 2012.
The party might consider this significantly.
– Kambia District has 2 candidates declared already. There are serious concerns about their competencies for president owing their performances and manner of exit in previous public offices.
c. Portloko District has 3 aspirants already. All 3 are largely devided and questions on them have been; apprenticeship (meaning less preparedness), less national popularity and lack of public experience in the case of the lawyer, and the veteran MP is considered an Old-school type better to maintain his position in parliament. The party would not choose a candidate from amongst such a bitterly divided district.
– Tonkolili District has one candidate so far yet to declare but vastly rumoured. The only woman yet in the race. Criticisms are based on gender and questions about her being a former founder of another political party (MoP), but EBK was also in PDP at one time.
– South-East has only the current VP trumpeted in rumours. Other interested persons from the two regions are criticized based on low votes potential in favour of the APC. The north-west might not give-in to making a president whose people (of the same region) would not cast their majority votes for. A potential exception to this maybe VP Foh who is a veteran politician that is admired accross the country. This might turn things around especially considering the thirst by the South-Easterners to see one of theirs as president. The case is even stronger where the opposition SLPP fails to conclude primaries amicably to the satisfaction of all factions. APC will always look at the better option to retain power.
Sierra Leone is yearning for a change.
APC can make this change from within. Apart from replacing EBK, the party has to make a shift from the prevailing old system.
Mitigating factional in-fights is also crucial while the Bombali dominance has reached a point that needs checking.
On grounds of family, there should be no room for nepotism. The president has at least close friends and immediate family members aspiring. Will he risk hurting either of the two in favour of the other?
Furthermore, EBK is preparing to be our president emeritus after the elections in 2018. But his ambitions are still clear on having control of the APC even after his presidency. Most of the aspirants wouldn’t be comfortable being controlled by another person when they are president. But there are a few who can manage according EBK continued respect & influence while pursuing their agenda.
So, APC is at the crossroads where it must be strategic in choosing the 2018 flagbearer.